Braves vs Marlins Prediction 9/25/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, September 25^th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 78-81 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 45-33 home record and are coming off a 1-2 road loss against the Cubs.

The Miami Marlins have a .248 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, adding a team-high 71 RBI. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Eury Perez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 7-11 record, 4.14 ERA and 1.27 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 93-66 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 41-37 away record and are coming off a 6-7 home loss against the Reds.

The Atlanta Braves have a .248 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .411 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 91, adding a team-high 41 home runs.

Ray Kerr (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 0-0 record, 1.76 ERA and 0.52 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: September 25, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Eury Perez      Record this season: 7-11      ERA: 4.14
• Home Record: 5-5
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-3

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The underdogs have won six of the Marlins’ last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a home loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games against NL opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Ray Kerr      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 1.76
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 12 night games against the Marlins following a loss.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Braves and Marlins.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday home games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Marlins.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Braves and Marlins at LoanDepot Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Braves’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Marlins’ last 10 Friday games against NL opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last five games as road favorites.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Griffin Conine has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Eury Perez has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his 10 previous home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (188) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as road favorites against the Marlins.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games.
• Matt Olson ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (35).
• The Marlins rank T3rd in the league for steals this season (162).
• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (12).
• The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (458).

Braves vs Marlins Prediction

The Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Marlins and have won their last three visits in Miami.

In this Braves vs Marlins Prediction, the Braves are coming as -125 road favorites. The Braves have nothing to play and are going for a bullpen game, but I cannot back the Marlins with Perez on the mound, as he has been in terrible form, having given up 5+ runs in four of his last five starts and has a terrible history against the Braves. On top of that, the Marlins have been much weaker against lefties throughout the season, so I will take the Braves on the moneyline in this one.