Braves vs Marlins Prediction 9/27/26 MLB Picks Today
Atlanta Braves (94-67) vs. Miami Marlins (79-82)
September 27, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -110 / Atlanta Braves -110; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 27th in the final game of the regular season. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 79-82 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 46-34 home record and are coming off a 3-8 home loss against the Braves.
The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average, adding a team-high 71 RBI. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 24 home runs.
Janson Junk (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 6-9 record, 4.31 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 94-67 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 42-38 away record and are coming off an 8-3 road win against the Marlins.
The Atlanta Braves have a .247 batting average this season, .310 OBP and .410 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .294 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 93, adding a team-high 41 home runs.
JR Ritchie (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 1-4 record, 4.79 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: September 27, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: River Ryan Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 0.00
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The home team has won eight of the Pirates’ last nine games.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Pirates’ last four games.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 3.87
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Tigers: 0-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Pirates’ last 13 road games against AL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Tigers’ last 11 games as home underdogs.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- River Ryan has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine games as underdogs.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
- Nick Gonzales has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Jared Jones has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Nick Gonzales is one of only five players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (57).
- The Tigers rank 4th in the league for triples this season (34).
- The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (1397).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (153).
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
The Braves are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Marlins and are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Miami.
In this Braves vs Marlins Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. Both teams have nothing to play for and I like the Marlins at home in this one, as they have the pitching edge with Janson Junk on the mound, who has given up one run or less in six of his last seven starts. On the flip side, JR Ritchie has a 5.45 road ERA for the Braves and the Marlins have a better bullpen ERA in their last 5. Take the Marlins to win this one at home.