Braves vs Mets Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out David Peterson for the start here, and Peterson is 5-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 71 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Peterson is 1-3 with a 4.97 ERA and 31 strikeouts. Spencer Schwellenbach will get the nod for the Braves here and is 5-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his career, Schwellenbach is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from a 9-0 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays last time out to sit at 45-27 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets Lose Three In A Row

Pete Alonso has 79 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, and a .293 batting average, while Juan Soto has 63 hits with 14 doubles, 13 home runs, and 36 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 78 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 12 doubles, 14 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 62 hits with 12 doubles and 13 home runs, and 39 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Mets following a loss.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded an RBI in each of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.570) this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to rebound from a 10-1 loss at the hands of the Colorado Rockies last time out to sit at 31-39 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Braves Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 81 hits, including 11 home runs, 36 RBIs, and 13 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 90 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 60 hits with 6 home runs and 25 RBIs in addition to 6 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 64 hits with 16 doubles, 14 home runs, and 43 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 60 hits with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 63 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs, and 41 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last 19 Tuesday night home games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have lost each of their last seven Tuesday night road games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in six of the Braves’ last 10 home games against the Mets.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Murphy has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Mets.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 home appearances against the Mets.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five Tuesday appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Austin Riley ranks 9th in the league in Hits (81) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eleven of the Mets’ last 13 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twenty of the Braves’ last 24 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the Braves in this one. I just think that Atlanta’s the team in better shape coming into this game with the edge in starting pitching. Spencer Schwellenbach started to show signs of turning things around after a rough start to the year, and I think he keeps it going with a win over a division rival here. Give me the Braves in this one.