
Braves vs Mets Prediction 6/18/25 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (45-28) vs. Atlanta Braves (32-39)
June 18, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -167 / NY Mets +150; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Mets Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Paul Blackburn here and Blackburn is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. In his career, Blackburn is 0-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 10 strikeouts against the Braves. Chris Sale will get the start here for Atlanta and is 4-4 with a 2.79 ERA and 107 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 31 strikeouts against the Mets.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back after ending up with a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Braves in Tuesday’s matchup to slip to 45-28 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road again for a series with the Philadelphia Phillies.
Mets Lose 4th In A Row
Pete Alonso has 81 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs and a .296 batting average while Juan Soto has 63 hits with 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 36 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 78 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 12 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 62 hits with 12 doubles and 13 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
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- The Mets have won each of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after going to extra innings.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Paul Blackburn has recorded four or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four night games.
- Juan Soto has scored at least one run in each of his last 12 road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Pete Alonso ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.569) this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves will be out to keep the ball rolling after picking up the win over the Mets on Tuesday to sit at 32-39 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Braves Win 4 Of Their Last 5
Austin Riley leads the Braves with 81 hits including 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 13 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 90 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 60 hits with 6 home runs and 25 RBIs in addition to 6 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 64 hits with 16 doubles, 14 home runs and 43 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 60 hits with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 63 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 41 RBIs and 10 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight night games at Truist Park following a loss.
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight night games against the Mets at Truist Park following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Mets at Truist Park following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four Wednesday night appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against the Mets.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Chris Sale ranks T5th in the league for total Strikeouts (107) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Braves vs Mets Prediction
I’m on the Braves in this one. The Braves just have a clear edge in starting pitching with Sale on the bump here, and it’s just hard to envision anything other than a comfortable win for Atlanta given the form that Sale is in. I think the Braves dominate here, and the Mets take another bump here. Give me the Braves -1.5.