Braves vs Mets Prediction 6/19/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Clay Holmes for the start here, and Holmes is 7-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. This will be Holmes’ first career start against the Braves. The Atlanta Braves will trot out Spencer Strider for the start here, and Strider is 1-5 with a 4.35 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Strider is 3-1 with a 6.46 ERA and 31 strikeouts.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-0 loss at the hands of the Braves in Wednesday’s matchup to sit at 45-29 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head on the road again for a series with the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets Drop 5^th Straight

Pete Alonso has 81 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, and a .291 batting average, while Juan Soto has 65 hits with 14 doubles, 14 home runs, and 37 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 78 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 12 doubles, 14 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 63 hits with 12 doubles and 13 home runs, and 39 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last 13 Thursday night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have lost nine of their last 13 games as favorites following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight Thursday games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 20 night games against National League opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games.
• Juan Soto has scored at least one run in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Jose Siri has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.561) this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves will be out to keep the ball rolling after picking up the win over the Mets on Wednesday to improve to 33-39 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Braves Win 5 Of Their Last 6

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 81 hits, including 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, and 13 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 92 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 63 hits with 6 home runs and 25 RBIs in addition to 6 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 67 hits with 16 doubles, 15 home runs, and 45 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 62 hits with 11 home runs and 39 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 63 hits with 10 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs, and 41 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last five games.
• The Braves have won eight of their last nine night games against the Mets at Truist Park following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 21 of his last 22 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 home appearances against the Mets.
• Spencer Strider has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Mets’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twenty-one of the Braves’ last 26 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the Braves in this one. The Braves have been the better team in this series, and the Mets just look lost right now, like they’ve fallen and can’t get up. Strider had a nice bounce-back outing last time out. While he’s had issues against the Mets in the past, I just think that this is a good spot for Strider and the Braves to keep the good vibes going with a win here. Give me Atlanta.