Braves vs Mets Prediction 7/3/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 36-51 on the year and play the Royals and Red Sox next. The New York Mets are batting .229 on the season, have a .298 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 87 hits and 46 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 153 hits and 72 RBI.

Christian Scott gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. This will be Scott’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 50-35 on the year and play the Cardinals and Pirates next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 246 on the season and have a .311 OBP and a .404 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 89 hits and 52 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 173 hits and 92 RBI.

Grant Holmes gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 4-4 with a 3.96 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The favorites have won each of the Mets’ last eight games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six games following a home loss.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The underdogs have won six of the Braves’ last eight games at Truist Park.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine Friday night games as road underdogs against the Braves.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Braves.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last six night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last three night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last nine night games against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four games between the Mets and Braves at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Mauricio Dubon has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Grant Holmes has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 home appearances against the Mets.
• Matt Olson ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Carson Benge has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Christian Scott has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances.
• Francisco Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.554) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.49).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (105).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).

Braves vs Mets Prediction

The Braves are having a rough week, and you can argue Scott is in better form than Holmes. The problem is the Braves are extremely talented and have done enough winning to suggest they’ll soon break out of this slump. We can’t say the same for the Mets, who have been massive underachievers and aren’t a team you should make a habit of backing. In order to back the Mets, I’d need plus money. We’re not getting it. The value is with the Braves and the low price at home. I’ll take it.