Braves vs Mets Prediction 7/5/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 36-53 on the year and play the Royals and Red Sox next. The New York Mets are batting .230 on the season, have a .298 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 90 hits and 47 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 158 hits and 75 RBI.

Nolan McLean gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-5 with a 3.78 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. McLean is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 52-35 on the year and play the Cardinals and Pirates next. The Atlanta Braves are batting. 247 on the season and have a .312 OBP and a .411 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.46 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 92 hits and 54 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 180 hits and 97 RBI.

Martin Perez gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 6-5 with a 3.27 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. Perez is 5-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The home team has won five of the last six games between the Mets and Braves.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The underdogs have won seven of the Braves’ last 10 games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have lost nine of their last 13 games as favorites.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six Sunday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home day games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Mets’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last three games as favorites against the Mets has gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Martin Perez’s last seven appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last six games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Mets.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 home appearances against the Mets.
• Michael Harris is one of only four players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Mark Vientos has hit at least one home run in each of his last three road appearances against the Braves.
• Nolan McLean has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with the Mets as underdogs.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (652).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (106).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).

Braves vs Mets Prediction

Perez is having a solid season, and he’s had great success against the Mets. Similar things can be said about McLean, but he pitches for the Mets, one of the biggest underachievers this season, and a team that just can’t string together wins. I’m just not in the business of backing the Mets, and it’s even easier when I get a low price on the other side. Despite this funk they’re in currently, I’ll gladly side with the Braves.