Braves vs Mets Prediction 8/10/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (52-67) vs. Atlanta Braves (71-47)
August 10, 2026 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -157 / NY Mets 130; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 10th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 71-47 this season after they lost two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 2-3, 4-5, and 2-1. In game three, Atlanta blew a 1-0 lead in the eighth inning, but they scored the only run in the 10th for the win. The Braves recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Olson, who went 1-4 with one home run and RBI. Holmes allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Iglesias picked up the win and Kinley got the save. Prior to that series, Atlanta swept the Marlins in three games and swept the Nationals in four games.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.60 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 576 runs with a .249 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 34 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 20 home runs and 59 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 8-6 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 126.2 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 52-67 this year after they won two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 6-4, 0-9, and 11-1. In game three, New York scored 10 runs in the first five innings to get the blowout win. The Mets recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Robert Jr, who went 2-5 with one home run and four RBIs. Manaea allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Weisenburger threw the last two innings in relief. Prior to that series, New York swept the Guardians in three games, but lost three out of four against the Marlins before that.
This season, New York has a 4.11 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 499 runs with a .235 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 11 home runs and 59 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Christian Scott, who is 3-3 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 74.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last nine home games.
- The Mets have lost 12 of their last 15 road games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Mets’ last nine games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last six home games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Christian Scott’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryce Elder has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 home appearances against the Mets.
- Bryce Elder has recorded a win in each of his last seven Monday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
- Matt Olson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.552) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
- Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
- Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (346).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (149).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
Braves vs Mets Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after another series win and they have scored 6+ runs in four of their last five games. The Mets are 27-33 on the road this year, while the Braves are 39-20 at home. Atlanta has won three of their last five games, but they have scored two runs in two of their last three. The Braves are starting Elder, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, while Scott has allowed seven earned runs in his last 25.1 innings of work. Take the under here.