Braves vs Mets Prediction 8/22/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 22nd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 58-69 this season after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 9-13, 11-10, and 1-0. In their game three win, Atlanta scored the only run of the game in the fourth and they were able to get great pitching for the victory. The Braves recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Alvarez Jr., who went 2-3 in the game. Atlanta started Waldrep, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Braves swept the Guardians in three games and won two out of three against the Mets. Atlanta has won seven of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 557 runs with a .245 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 19 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Joey Wentz, who is 4-3 with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 68.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 67-60 this year after they lost two out of three against Washington by scores of 8-1, 4-5, and 3-9. In their game three loss, New York led 3-0 in the fourth inning, but couldn’t score over the last six innings in the defeat. The Mets recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Senger, Lindor, and Marte, who all had one RBI in the loss. New York started Manaea, who allowed three hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Stanek allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Mariners, but did lose two out of three against the Braves before that. New York has won three of their last five games and they are second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 569 runs with a .244 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 28 home runs and 101 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 31 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Nolan McLean, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Braves will beat the Mets

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have won seven of their last eight games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight night games against the Mets at Truist Park.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Twenty-seven of the Braves’ last 35 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Mets’ last four road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four home games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Mets’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 home appearances against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Starling Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Mets against NL opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (457).
• The Braves rank 25th in the league for doubles this season (191).
• The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (117).
• The Mets rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (453).

Braves vs Mets Prediction 

New York missed out on a great chance to get a series win in Washington on Thursday afternoon, and they now trail the Phillies by seven games in the East. The Mets are 26-36 on the road this year, while the Braves are 32-31 at home. Atlanta is playing very well right now and they are starting Wentz, who has allowed one earned run of fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is going with McLean, who pitched 5.1 innings of shutout ball against Seattle in his first start. I think this is a very tough spot for McLean on the road against a solid lineup, so I will back the Braves here.