Braves vs Mets Prediction 8/23/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 68-60 on the year and play the Phillies, Marlins, and Tigers next. The New York Mets are batting .246 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .421 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 136 hits and 72 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 243 hits and 169 RBI.

Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 10-6 with a 3.64 ERA and 105 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 2-1 with a 3.70 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 58-70 on the year and play the Marlins, Phillies, and Cubs next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .245 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 132 hits and 72 RBI while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Albies have combined for 235 hits and 118 RBI.

Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 4-10 with a 5.50 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. Quantrill is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have won each of their last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday home games.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has won each of the last three games between the Mets and Braves.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last nine games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Cal Quantrill has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 home appearances against the Mets.
• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of his last eight appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite against the Braves.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (32) this season.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

I don’t trust the Mets given what they’ve done over the last two months, but I’m going to back them here. Despite a poor August, Holmes has a solid 3.64 ERA and 1.34 WHIP on the season, and he has a 3.41 ERA in 60.2 road innings. Quantrill has a 5.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 20 hits and 15 runs in his last 12 innings. The Mets are the better team with the better pitcher. The price is insanely low. Give me the Mets on Saturday night.