Braves vs Nationals Prediction 5/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 14th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 21-21 this season and they have won the first two games of this series by scores of 4-3 and 5-2. In their game two win, Atlanta trailed 2-0 early in the game, but they scored the last five runs in the game for the win. The Braves recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Baldwin, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Schwellenbach, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Johnson picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win three out of four against the Reds. Atlanta has won seven of their last ten games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 166 runs with a .240 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with eight home runs and 26 RBIs, while Sean Murphy has added seven home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 2-2 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 17-26 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-2. Washington scored the first two runs in the game and they were looking solid, but they allowed runs in the fourth, fifth, and sixth innings for the loss. The Nationals recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Abrams, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Washington started Soroka, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Lord allowed five hits and two earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals lost all three against the Cardinals and two out of three against the Guardians. Washington has lost seven games in a row and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.42 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 176 runs with a .237 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 11 home runs and 24 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added seven home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 3-3 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Braves will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games.
• The Braves have won each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Why the Nationals will beat the Braves

• The Nationals have won seven of their last eight Wednesday games as underdogs against the Braves.
• The Braves have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Nationals and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 11 night games between the Nationals and Braves.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five night games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Austin Riley has recorded an RBI in four of the Braves’ last five games against NL East opponents.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last nine night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Austin Riley has scored at least one run in each of his last six Wednesday night appearances at Truist Park.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
• Orlando Arcia has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games against the Braves.
• Amed Rosario has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has scored a run in four of the Nationals’ last five games at Truist Park.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 road appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

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Braves vs Nationals Prediction 

Washington limps into this contest on a seven game losing streak and they are just 7-14 on the road this year. The Nationals have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games, while their pitching staff has allowed at least five runs in three of their last five. Washington is starting Parker, who has allowed 4, 5, and 6 earned runs in his last three starts. Atlanta is going with Elder, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five. Take the over in this game.