Braves vs Nationals Prediction 9/23/25 MLB Picks Today

The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 64-93 on the year and play the White Sox next. The Washington Nationals are batting .243 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 5.36 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 146 hits and 89 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 265 hits and 120 RBI.

Brad Lord gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 5-8 with a 4.18 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. Lord is 0-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 74-83 on the year and play the Pirates next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .246 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .399 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 167 hits and 93 RBI while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Alies have combined for 290 hits and 157 RBI.

Hurston Waldrep gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Waldrep is 1-1 with a 10.38 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 23, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Hurston Waldrep      Record this season: 5-1      ERA: 3.04
• Home Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Nationals: 1-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last nine games.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last nine games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Truist Park.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brad Lord       Record this season: 5-8      ERA: 4.18
• Road Record: 4-4
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-1

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The road team has won seven of the Braves’ last eight games.
• The Braves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Truist Park following a home win.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Braves’ last eight games.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home night games.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Braves’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against the Braves have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Nationals’ last five road games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four night games.
• Michael Harris has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Braves as favorites.
• Matt Olson ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.371) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Paul DeJong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Braves.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (557).
• The Braves rank 25th in the league for steals this season (80).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.36).
• The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.269).

Braves vs Nationals Prediction

Neither team has anything to play for so this series really comes down to motivation. Which side wants to be at the ballpark while which team is counting down the days until vacation. The answer is the Braves, a team riding a 9-game winning streak. In 37 at bats against the Braves, Lord is allowing a .297 batting average and .333 on base percentage. Waldrep isn’t having a great September, and he has a 4.37 ERA at home, but the Braves are playing the better ball overall, so I’m going to side with the home team. Of course, I’ll lay the RL as well to shave down the price.