Braves vs Nationals Prediction 9/24/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 24th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 75-83 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 11-5 and 3-2. In their game two win, Atlanta trailed 1-0 early in the game, but scored the next three runs and hung on for the victory. The Braves recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Harris II, who went 2-3 with two home runs and two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Waldrep, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Braves won all three against the Tigers and all four against the Nationals. Atlanta has won 10 games in a row and they are fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.36 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 713 runs with a .246 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 28 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 8-10 with a 5.36 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 149.1 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 64-94 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday night. Washington led 1-0 in the third inning, but didn’t score again until the eighth inning and came up short in the comeback attempt. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Wood and Abrams, who both had one RBI in the loss. Washington started Lord, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Pilkington allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Mets, but lost all four against the Braves before that. Washington has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.35 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .269 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 668 runs with a .242 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 28 home runs and 90 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 61 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Andrew Alvarez, who is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Nationals

• The Braves have won each of their last 10 games.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games at Truist Park.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Braves’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Nationals’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Braves’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Nationals’ last seven day games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last eight games against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in four of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
• CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Braves.

Braves vs Nationals Prediction 

Atlanta continues to be red hot over the last two weeks and they have won 10 games in a row. The Braves are 38-39 at home this year, while the Nationals are 33-47 on the road. Washington is starting Alvarez, who has allowed 4, 0, 2, and 0 earned runs in his last four outings. Atlanta is going with Elder, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Elder has some rough numbers on the season, but he is pitching better recently and the Braves are still the hottest team in baseball. Take Atlanta to win by at least two runs.