Braves vs Orioles Prediction 7/4/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 4, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles (37-49, 18-27 Away) suffered a couple of losses to the Texas Rangers in the space of ten days. In between, the O’s beat the Tampa Bay Rays. Baltimore opened the recent series against Texas with a win, but lost the next two games, including the rubber match last night, 6-0. Tomoyuki Sugano took the loss after allowing six runs on ten hits with five strikeouts and one walk in 4.2 innings.

This season, the Orioles average 4.15 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .240/.306/.399 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Orioles’ staff has a 5.01 ERA (27th) and 1.43 WHIP (27th). Cedric Mullins leads the Orioles with a .213 batting average, 12 home runs, and 39 RBI this season.

Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Orioles on Friday. The 41-year-old right-hander has a 4-7 record in 12 starts this year with a 5.63 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 72.0 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (39-47, 24-19 Home) are without a series win in four straight after losing to the Miami Marlins, splitting with the New York Mets, and losing to the Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Angels. In the rubber match against the Angels on Thursday, the Braves succumbed to a 5-1 defeat. Jurickson Profar drove in the lone run for the offense, while Bryce Elder took the loss after allowing four runs on eight hits with five strikeouts and three walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Braves average 4.05 runs per game (24th in the MLB) on a .243/.318/.381 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (12th) and 1.24 WHIP (11th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .267 batting average, 16 home runs, and 56 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Spencer Strider, who is 3-6 in nine starts this season, with a 3.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 49.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Orioles’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Braves’ last six home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight home games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (787).
• The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (664).
• The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (801).
• The Orioles rank 27th in the league for walks this season (242).

Braves vs Orioles Prediction

The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Orioles were better in two of the last three meetings. Seven of the past ten H2H duels went Under (one push), and I am backing another low-scoring affair here because of the pitching matchup. Spencer Strider posted a respectable 3.60 ERA in June and allowed six runs in his previous four starts. Charlie Morton, on the other hand, wasn’t good enough earlier in the season, but was solid in May and even better in June, registering a 2.88 ERA and surrendering eight runs in five starts. I don’t expect more than eight runs in this duel. Go with Under.