San Diego Padres (28-21) vs. Atlanta Braves (24-26)
May 24, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves 105 / San Diego Padres -125; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 24, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres (28-21, 12-13 Away) snapped a six-game losing skid, their longest of the season, with a narrow 2-1 victory over the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of the series. Before this series, the Padres were swept by the Mariners and Blue Jays. Nick Pivetta pitched for 6.0 innings in a no-decision last night, allowing one run on four hits with seven strikeouts and three walks. Jason Adam was credited with the win.
This year, the Padres average 4.22 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .255/.320/.390 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Padres’ staff has a 3.45 ERA (8th) and 1.19 WHIP (8th). Gavin Sheets leads the Padres with a .285 batting average, nine home runs, and 29 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Padres is Michael King, who is 4-2 in ten starts this season, with a 2.59 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 55.2 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (24-26, 15-8 Home) defeated the Nationals and Red Sox, but then the Nats swept them in a two-game series (one was postponed due to bad weather). Ronald Acuna Jr. returned from his lengthy injury and smacked a solo homer on his first game back, but that was all the Braves did offensively in a 2-1 home loss to the Padres on Friday. Chris Sale pitched for 7.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing one run on four hits with six strikeouts and one walk. Raisel Iglesias took the loss.
This season, the Braves average 4.12 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .245/.317/.389 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.81 ERA (14th) and 1.24 WHIP (14th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .245 batting average, 11 home runs, and 28 RBI this season.
Grant Holmes will take the mound for the Braves on Saturday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 2-3 record in nine starts this year with a 4.01 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 51.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Padres’ last 12 games as favorites against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games at Truist Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 10th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.235).
- The Braves rank 10th in the league for runs allowed this season (196).
- The Padres rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.221).
- The Padres rank T6th in the league for runs allowed this season (186).
Braves vs Padres Prediction
The Padres won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last seven. This season, San Diego already has a 5-0 record against Atlanta. Each of the last three H2Hs went Under, but I am going with Over in this one, as I am not a big fan of Grant Holmes. He did post a couple of consecutive quality starts and allowed three runs in total, but the Padres will surely challenge him. Michael King lasted only 2.2 innings in his previous start against the Braves and allowed three runs. That game produced 11 runs, and I am looking for a similar outcome on Saturday. King surrendered multiple runs in each of his last three starts. Go with Over.
