Braves vs Padres Prediction 7/22/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 22nd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 58-42 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 3-8. In game two, Atlanta led 2-1 in the second inning, but scored just one run over the last seven innings for the loss. The Braves recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Jarvis, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Lopez allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Ritchie allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three against the Rangers, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.64 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 495 runs with a .248 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 26 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 18 home runs and 54 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 6-6 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 81.1 innings pitched this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 50-51 this year after they won game two by a score of 8-3 last night. San Diego scored three runs in the fourth inning to take the lead and they never looked back in the win. The Padres recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Tatis Jr, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Buehler allowed two hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Matsui picked up a hold. Prior to this series, San Diego lost two out of three against the Royals, but did win two out of three against the Blue Jays before that. 

This season, San Diego has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 415 runs with a .230 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 22 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 14 home runs and 40 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Michael King, who is 6-7 with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Padres have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Braves have won 13 of their last 16 home games following a home loss.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five home games following a home loss.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as favorites.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last six Wednesday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The underdogs have won five of the Padres’ last six games.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last nine games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Braves’ last eight home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Padres’ last five road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Padres’ last nine night games against NL East opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Braves’ last six night games at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances after playing the previous day.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Manny Machado has hit at least one home run in four of the Padres’ last five road games against the Braves.
• Michael King has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Braves rank T27th in the league for triples this season (8).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (762).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (762).

Braves vs Padres Prediction 

Atlanta comes into this matchup after winning three of their last five games and they have a three game lead in the NL East. The Braves are 30-20 at home this year, while the Padres are 23-27 on the road. San Diego has dropped three of their last five games, but their offense is finally perking up. The Padres are starting King, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while Perez has allowed 11 earned runs in his last 13.1 innings. Take the Padres to win here.