Braves vs Reds Prediction 5/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves meet Monday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Reds Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 18-17 on the year and play the Astros, White Sox, and Guardians next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .249 on the season, have a .328 OBP, and a .394 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds with 36 hits and 13 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Gavin Lux have combined for 69 hits and 40 RBI.

Brady Singer gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 4-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. Singer is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 15-18 on the year and play the Pirates, Nationals, and Red Sox next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 on the season, have a .316 OBP, and a .395 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 40 hits and 24 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna have combined for 61 hits and 26 RBI.

AJ Smith-Shawver gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 1-2 with a 4.26 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Smith-Shawver’s second career game against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Braves have lost nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last 11 games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games against the Braves at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Michael Harris has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three games as favorites against the Reds.
• Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Reds.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last six games as home favorites.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents at Truist Park.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Brady Singer has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gavin Lux has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight road appearances.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Trevino has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Brady Singer ranks T6th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Braves vs Reds Prediction

You can make a case for the Reds, as they’re arguably the better team and have the pitching edge. Singer has been better than Smith-Shawver this season. With that said, the Reds are coming off a rough week where the pitching staff got rocked, and they’ve lost four of their last six games. If the Reds don’t get their act together, the Braves have the lineup to add to those hiccups.

The Braves continue to show flashes here and there, and we know what they’re capable of when they have things figured out. I don’t love the price, but I’ll lean toward the Braves at home. The Reds have underachieved for the most part, and it’s hard to figure things out on the road.