
Braves vs Twins Prediction 4/18/25 MLB Picks Today
Minnesota Twins (7-12) vs. Atlanta Braves (5-13)
April 18, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -135 / Minnesota Twins 114; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Twins and Atlanta Braves meet Friday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Twins Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Twins Pick.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 7-12 on the year and play the White Sox, Angels, and Guardians next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .216 on the season, have a .284 OBP, and a .337 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 18 hits and 10 RBI, while Willi Castro and Matt Wallner have combined for 30 hits and 8 RBI.
Chris Paddack gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. Paddack is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 5-13 on the year and play the Cardinals, Diamondbacks, and Rockies next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .222 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and a .373 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Austin Riley leads the Atlanta Braves with 21 hits and 12 RBI while Ozzie Albies and Marcell Ozuna have combined for 32 hits and 18 RBI.
Bryce Elder gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Elder’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Twins have lost each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last four night games.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Twins.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The underdogs have won four of the Braves’ last five games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in six of the Twins’ last seven games.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (58).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for runs scored this season (61).
- The Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (49).
- The Twins rank T27th in the league for walks this season (48).
Braves vs Twins Prediction
The Braves are better than what they’ve shown through 18 games, but at some point they have to cash some tickets. That simply hasn’t happened much yet. It’s hard to justify the Braves in the favorite role with the way they’re playing. Elder also has been rough, allowing 12 hits and eight runs in 10 innings, and that includes allowing four homers. The Twins are coming off two big wins over the Mets, and Paddack has been better in his last two starts, allowing four earned runs in his last nine innings. I’m just not excited to back the Braves in the favorite role. It’s Twins and the more favorable price or pass for me on Friday night.