Canadiens vs Red Wings Prediction 10/9/25 NHL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Canadiens vs Red Wings Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, October 9^th at the Little Caesars Arena. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Detroit Red Wings finished last season with 86 points with a 39-35-8 record and were placed 6^th in the Atlantic Division. They had a 22-16-3 home record and were 48-34 against the spread and 40-36 in over/under.

Offensively last season, the Red Wings were averaging 2.87 goals per game and were scoring 27% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, the Red Wings were allowing 3.16 goals per game and were killing 70.1% of their opponent’s power plays. Lucas Raymond led Detroit with 80 points last season, with 27 goals and 53 assists. Alex DeBrincat followed with 70 points, with 39 assists and 31 goals, while Dylan Larkin added 70 points, with 30 goals and 40 assists.

John Gibson is likely in net for the Red Wings, and he had a 11-11-2 record last season, with 2.73 GAA and .912 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens Preview

The Canadiens are coming off a 2-5 road defeat in Toronto against the Maple Leafs last night. They were keeping the game close for the first two periods of the game, as they were tied 2-2 goals, before getting outscored by 3-0 in the third period. The Canadiens outshot the Leafs by 31-27, but they failed to convert any power play opportunities, and had a 100% power kill percentage. Sam Montembeault stopped 22 of 25 shots for a .880 SV%, and Zachary Bolduc and Oliver Kapanen scored Montreal’s two goals in the game.

Jakub Dobes is likely in net for the Canadiens, and he had a 7-4-3 record last season, with 2.81 GAA and .907 SV%.

Montreal Canadiens @ Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends: October 9, 2025

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Canadiens have lost each of their last six road games.
• The Red Wings have won each of their last four home games.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last four games.
• The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games.
• The Red Wings have won the third period in each of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents at Little Caesars Arena when trailing after the second period.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Canadiens have won 12 of their last 18 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have lost 17 of their last 28 games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 13 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Red Wings’ last six games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The road team has won the second period in each of the Red Wings’ last four games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last four games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last 10 games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the Canadiens’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last six games as favorites against the Canadiens.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Canadiens’ last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Alex DeBrincat has scored at least one goal in eight of the Red Wings’ last nine games as favorites.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one assist in five of the Red Wings’ last six games as home favorites.
• Patrick Kane has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last eight home games.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Nick Suzuki has scored at least one goal in six of the Canadiens’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Patrik Laine has recorded at least one point in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Red Wings.
• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in four of the Canadiens’ last five games as underdogs against the Red Wings.
• Juraj Slafkovsky has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Montreal Canadiens rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (100.00%).
• The Montreal Canadiens rank T8th in the league in power play percentage this season (0.00%).

Canadiens vs Red Wings Prediction

The Canadiens were 3-1 in their 4 meetings against the Red Wings last season, and both teams were tied 1-1 wins in Detroit. The Red Wings won by 4-2 and the Canadiens by 5-1. Over is 4-1-2 in their last 7 meetings.

In this Canadiens vs Red Wings Prediction, the Red Wings are coming as -120 home favorites. The Canadiens are playing their second leg of a road back-to-back, and had to travel all the way from Canada to Detroit. They did not look very good in the loss yesterday, conceding 5 goals and failing to score any power play goals. I like the Red Wings in this spot, as they are playing their season opener in front of their home crowd, and they will most likely take advantage of their opponent’s tired legs. Take the Detroit Red Wings on the moneyline in this one.