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Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction 8/9/25 MLB Picks Today

Chicago Cubs (66-49) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (59-58)
August 9, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -111 / Chicago Cubs -109; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Cardinals vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 9, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs (66-49, 30-27 Away) are playing in a hot-and-cold form recently; they failed to record back-to-back series wins in the second half. After defeating the Orioles, the Cubs lost to the Reds. They haven’t scored in the opening game of the series against the Cardinals last night, losing 5-0. Matthew Boyd took the loss after allowing three runs on seven hits with three strikeouts and no walks in 5.0 innings.

This season, the Cubs average 5.16 runs per game (1st in the MLB) on a .253/.323/.439 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cubs’ staff has a 3.89 ERA (16th) and 1.21 WHIP (6th). Seiya Suzuki leads the Cubs with a .251 batting average, 27 home runs, and 84 RBI this season.

Colin Rea will take the mound for the Cubs on Saturday. The 35-year-old right-hander has an 8-5 record in 19 starts this year with a 4.23 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 110.2 innings.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals (59-58, 33-24 Home) finally won their first series in the second half as they beat the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Cards opened this series against the Cubs with a comfortable 5-0 victory on Friday. Jordan Walker led the offense with two RBI, while Michael McGreevy got the win after allowing no runs on six hits with three strikeouts and one walk across 6.0 innings of work.

This year, the Cardinals average 4.39 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .249/.319/.388 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cardinals’ staff has a 4.22 ERA (21st) and 1.29 WHIP (18th). Willson Contreras leads the Cardinals with a .259 batting average, 16 home runs, and 65 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals is Andre Pallante, who is 6-8 in 22 starts this season, with a 4.57 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 122.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cubs’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Cardinals’ last five night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 21 of the Cardinals’ last 24 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last four night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (305).
  • The Cardinals rank 5th in the league for doubles this season (202).
  • The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (588).
  • The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.437).

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past few years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. This season, the series is tied at 4-4. Five of those eight duels went Over, including three of the last four, and I am going with another Over in this one. Colin Real allowed 11 runs in his previous three starts, and I think the Cards should be good for 3+ runs against him. Andre Pallante, on the other hand, surrendered 19 runs in his last five starts, so the Cubs will have a chance to bounce back from last night’s dud and score multiple runs here. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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