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Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction 6/26/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (42-39) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (42-36)
June 26, 2026 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -114 / Miami Marlins -105; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals meet Friday in MLB action at Busch Stadium. Here’s a Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Cardinals vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 42-39 on the year and play the Rockies and Athletics next. The Miami Marlins are batting .246 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and have a .390 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 107 hits and 35 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 155 hits and 81 RBI.

Max Meyer gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 8-0 with a 2.80 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. Meyer is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the St. Louis Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 42-36 on the year and play the Braves and Cubs next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .249 on the season, with a .327 OBP and a .399 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 88 hits and 58 RBI, while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 163 hits and 91 RBI.

Michael McGreevy gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 3-6 with a 3.35 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. McGreevy is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Cardinals have won six of their last seven home games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last nine night games against the Cardinals following a home win.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against the Cardinals following a home win.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Friday games as road underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven Friday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Busch Stadium.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cardinals’ last five home games against NL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Marlins’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Marlins’ last 16 night games at Busch Stadium.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last seven night games between the Marlins and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three games against NL East opponents.
  • Michael McGreevy has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
  • Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances.
  • Michael McGreevy has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Ivan Herrera ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.404) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Max Meyer has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Connor Norby has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Max Meyer has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances.
  • Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (107) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (587).
  • The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (607).
  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (88).
  • The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (17).

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction

The Cardinals, I guess, are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home, but this line is disrespectful toward the fish. The Marlins are good and profitable, and they have an all-star on the mound. Through 90 innings, Meyer has a 2.80 ERA and 1.16 WHIP while racking up 102 strikeouts. You can argue Meyer has been a top 15 starter in baseball this season, and since May, the Marlins are 9-1 with him on the mound. Cheap price or plus money, I’m riding with the Marlins, especially with Meyer on the bump.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins -105

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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