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Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction 6/28/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (44-39) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (42-38)
June 28, 2026 2:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -131 / Miami Marlins 109; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and St. Louis Cardinals meet Sunday in MLB action at Busch Stadium. Here’s a Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Cardinals vs Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 44-39 on the year and play the Rockies and Athletics next. The Miami Marlins are batting .247 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and have a .390 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 109 hits and 36 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 159 hits and 82 RBI.

Tyler Phillips gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 1-2 with a 3.09 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Phillips is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the St. Louis Cardinals.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 42-38 on the year and play the Braves and Cubs next. The St. Louis Cardinals are batting .247 on the season, with a .325 OBP and a .394 slugging percentage. The St. Louis Cardinals’ pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Jordan Walker leads the St. Louis Cardinals with 90 hits and 58 RBI, while Alec Burleson and JJ Wetherholt have combined for 165 hits and 91 RBI.

Kyle Leahy gets the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he is 5-4 with a 4.24 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. Leahy is 0-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Marlins have lost six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Cardinals have won four of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 day games against NL East opponents.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Marlins have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games following a win.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cardinals’ last seven home games against NL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last seven Sunday games against National League opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Marlins’ last six games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last five games against NL East opponents.
  • Masyn Winn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
  • Ivan Herrera ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.401) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Mack has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler Phillips has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games.
  • Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (109) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (597).
  • The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (623).
  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (92).
  • The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (18).

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction

I keep hyping up the Marlins and saying how this feisty team is good and should be more respected in the betting market, and it’s still not happening. There’s no reason the Marlins should be underdogs in this spot with the way they’re playing and the fact that they’ve been the best team in baseball this month. Phillips hasn’t been good in June, and he has a 6.86 ERA on the road, but who cares? We’re getting the better team at a more favorable price. The Marlins continue to roll. Give me the fish and the plus money yet again.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins 109

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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