Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 3/31/26 MLB Picks Today
NY Mets (3-1) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (2-2)
March 31, 2026 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals 139 / NY Mets -168; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, March 31st at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 2-2 this season after they lost game one to start this series by a score of 4-2 against the Mets. St. Louis tied the game at one in the first inning and they cut the deficit to 4-2 in the sixth, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Cardinals recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Burleson and Gorman, who both had one RBI. Leahy allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Svanson and Soriano combined for 4.0 scoreless innings in relief.
This season, St. Louis has a 6.32 ERA with a 1.86 WHIP and a .325 opponent batting average, while they have scored 24 runs with a .263 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Alec Burleson has led the Cardinals with one home run and five RBIs, while Nolan Gorman has added two home run and five RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who went 6-15 with a 5.31 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 162.2 innings pitched last season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 3-1 this year after they won game one in this series by a score of 4-2 on Monday night. New York was tied at one early in the game, but they scored once in the fifth and twice in the sixth to get the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Bichette, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Holmes allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Williams picked up the save.
This season, New York has a 2.77 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 22 runs with a .254 batting average and a .357 on base percentage. Luis Robert has led the Mets with one home run and five RBIs, while Brett Baty has added zero home runs and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Kodai Senga, who went 7-6 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched last year.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Cardinals have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last nine night games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have won each of their last six night games at Busch Stadium following a win.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against the Mets at Busch Stadium following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games at Busch Stadium following a win.
- The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Cardinals’ last six home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Mets’ last 12 night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Mets and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 10 night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Cardinals.
- Kodai Senga has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction
New York was able to pick up a low scoring win in game one of this series and their offense has not been great over the last three. The Mets are starting Senga, who dealt with some injuries last year, but did pitch very well. St. Louis has dropped two straight and they are starting Pallante, who had an ERA of 5.31 last season. Take the Mets to get the win by at least two runs.