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Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Prediction 6-21-24 Picks
NY Mets (35-38) vs. Chicago Cubs (36-39)
June 21, 2024 2:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -152 / NY Mets +127; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Chicago Cubs meet Friday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets are fresh off three games versus the Texas Rangers. New York took the first installment of that set 14-2 and won Tuesday 7-6. Wednesday’s matchup was a 5-3 loss however, as the Mets failed to complete the sweep. Starter Sean Manaea finished with 5.2 innings, three earned and six Ks in the loss.
For Friday’s game the Mets will send out Jose Quintana as starter. Quintana is 2-5 with a 4.98 ERA in 14 starts this year. In his career Quintana is 94-98 with a 3.79 ERA in 342 total games (316 starts).
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
Over on the Cubs’ side, they played the San Francisco Giants in their last series. Chicago lost Monday’s opener but then followed up with wins 5-2 and 6-5 in the remaining pair. In the finale, Cubs starter Kyle Hendricks came away with 5.2 innings, one earned run, two hits, one walk and eight strikeouts.
It’ll be Shota Imanaga in the start for the Cubs on Friday. This year Imanaga is 7-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 78 Ks in 76.0 innings over his first 13 career starts. The Cubs will meet the Giants and Brewers after this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Cubs’ last 12 games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last 15 home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three road games against NL Central opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ian Happ has recorded a Double in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL East opponents.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last eight home appearances against the Mets.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Mets’ last nine road games against the Cubs.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances at Wrigley Field.
- Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last seven games.
Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets Prediction
I’ll stay with the Cubs. Imanaga should do pretty well here. He’s 2-0 in his last three starts combined, giving up four earned in 18.0 total frames. Imanaga has 16 hits and just one walk in that time. As for Quintana, he’s coming off a nice outing in a win over the Padres, going 6.0 innings with one earned on two hits and two walks.
The Cubs have been scoring quite well lately. They’ve hit five or more runs in four of their last five games. Chicago has given up five or more runs in two of the last three however, so the Mets should have some opportunities late if the pen can’t get it together.