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Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5-25-24 Picks

Baltimore Orioles (31-18) vs. Chicago White Sox (15-37)
May 25, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox +156 / Baltimore Orioles -185; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 25th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

White Sox Can’t Stop Allowing Runs 

The Chicago White Sox are 15-37 this season and they have lost seven of their last eight games. Chicago has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 14 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against Toronto, were swept by the Yankees, and won two out of three against Washington. Chicago has lost nine of their last 12 games and they are last in the AL Central, 19 games behind Cleveland. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 153 runs with a .217 batting average and a .279 on base percentage. Andrew Vaughn is batting .202 with four home runs and 18 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago is 28th in team ERA this year and they have allowed at least six runs in six of their last seven games. 

Orioles Back on Track 

The Baltimore Orioles are 31-18 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Baltimore has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-6 and 6-4. Prior to this series, the Orioles were swept by the Cardinals, won two out of three against Seattle, and split a two game series with Toronto. Baltimore is just 5-6 in their last 11 games and they continue to trail the Yankees in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.36 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 243 runs with a .243 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .272 with 17 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is sixth in team ERA and they are seventh in runs scored this year, as they have scored at least four runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Erick Fedde, who is 4-1 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this season. Fedde has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but he has allowed 10 earned runs and 11 hits in the other two outings. Fedde has been very good at home and has not allowed an earned run in his last two home starts. Baltimore has not named a starting pitcher for this game, but it is likely that they go with a bullpen game that could be started by Albert Suarez. 

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

The Orioles have lost four of their last five day games against the White Sox following a road win.
The White Sox have won four of their last five day games against the Orioles following a home loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
The White Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine Saturday games against the Orioles.
The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Orioles.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

The Orioles have won each of their last nine Saturday road games against American League opponents.
The White Sox have lost 13 of their last 14 day games against teams that held a winning record.
The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
The Orioles have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games at Guaranteed Rate Field against teams that held a losing record.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against AL Central opponents.
The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Orioles’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the last four games between the Orioles and White Sox have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last three day games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five Saturday games.

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 

Baltimore has won the first two games in this series, but they have not been easy wins, as Chicago has threatened to come back in the ninth inning of both games. The Orioles are one of the best teams in baseball and they are 14-8 on the road, while Chicago is just 10-16 at home and is towards the bottom of the MLB. Fedde has been solid at home for the White Sox, but this Baltimore lineup is very talented. I know Baltimore doesn’t have a clear direction for their pitching game plan, but I think we are going to see plenty of runs here. My Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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