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Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-8-24 Picks

Minnesota Twins (51-39) vs. Chicago White Sox (26-66)
July 8, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox +160 / Minnesota Twins -190; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 8th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

White Sox are Allowing Too Many Runs 

The Chicago White Sox are 26-66 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Miami, where they lost two out of three games and allowed 11 runs in games two and three. Prior to that series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Guardians, won two out of three against the Rockies, and won a makeup game with the Braves. Chicago is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 295 runs with a .222 batting average and a .284 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .233 with 16 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has allowed at least four runs in five of their last seven games, which is not good for the lowest scoring team in the MLB. 

Twins Remain Hot 

The Minnesota Twins are 51-39 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Houston, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Tigers, won two out of three against the Mariners, and won two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Minnesota is 10-4 in their last 14 games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 447 runs with a .255 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .305 with 11 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in eight of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Chris Flexen, who is 2-7 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year. Flexen has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 5-3 with a 5.29 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 78.1 innings pitched this season. Paddack has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts and has not pitched since June 21st. 

Why the Twins will beat the White Sox

  • The Twins have won each of their last eight games against the White Sox.
  • The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 Monday games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the White Sox’s last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Twins’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six night games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Tommy Pham has recorded a Double in three of his four previous home appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one Single in each of the White Sox’s last six home games against AL opponents.
  • Chris Flexen has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his three previous home appearances against the Twins.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the White Sox as underdogs against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last 11 games.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the White Sox.
  • Carlos Correa ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.305) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (295).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (181).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (228).

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

The Twins come into this series playing very well over the last two weeks and they are trying to catch the Guardians, who are currently six games up in the AL Central. Minnesota is 24-21 on the road this year, while Chicago is 16-29 on the road. The White Sox have played .500 baseball over the last ten games, but their pitching staff continues to let them down, just like we saw on Sunday afternoon. Chicago is starting Flexen, who I do not trust in this situation. Minnesota sounds like they are going with Paddack, who is coming off of the IL. The pitching situation isn’t ideal for either team, but the Twins offense is red hot right now. My Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for the Twins to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Twins -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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