White Sox vs Phillies Prediction 7-28-25 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago White Sox meet Monday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a White Sox vs Phillies Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Cristopher Sanchez for the start here and Sanchez is 9-2 with a 2.40 ERA and 134 strikeouts this season. This will be Sanchez’s first career start against the White Sox. Davis Martin will get the start for the White Sox here and is 2-8 with a 3.89 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. This will be Martin’s first career start against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to rebound from a 4-3 loss at the hands of the New York Yankees last time out to sit at 60-45 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the Detroit Tigers.

Phillies Looking To Start Another Series Strong

Nick Castellanos has 107 hits with 23 doubles including 14 home runs and 57 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 99 hits with a team-high 36 home runs and 84 RBIs but also has a team-high 124 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 10 stolen bases, 22 doubles, 15 home runs and 43 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 125 hits with a team-high 25 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 11 doubles, 2 triples, 7 homers and 41 RBIs while Stott also has 16 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The White Sox have lost 20 of their last 21 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won each of their last eight Monday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Phillies and White Sox.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in seven of the Phillies’ last eight night games.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (125) this season.

Chicago White Sox Recap

The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-4 loss at the hands of the Chicago Cubs in their last game to sit at 38-68 on the year. After this series, the White Sox will head on the road for a series against the Angels.

White Sox Drop Back-To-Back Games

Lenyn Sosa has 84 hits including 16 doubles and 37 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 65 hits including 12 doubles, 13 home runs, 42 RBIs and a .239 batting average while Miguel Vargas has 85 hits, 25 doubles, 12 home runs and 41 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 24 RBIs while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 26 stolen bases along with 41 RBIs so far this season. Chase Meidroth has added 77 hits with 11 stolen bases as well as 12 doubles this season.

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

• The underdogs have won three of the Phillies’ last four games.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road favorites.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Mike Tauchman has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four games against NL opponents.
• Michael A. Taylor has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances with the White Sox as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Mike Tauchman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the White Sox’s last nine home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Phillies’ last eight night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

White Sox vs Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies -1.5 here. I get the case to be made for the White Sox catching plus money at home in some spots, but not here, unfortunately. Cristopher Sanchez has been a machine in a lot of recent starts, going 7+ innings of 2 run or less ball more often than not. I think that the Phillies can get the job done here and get to Davis Martin for enough to cover the run line here, so give me Philadelphia.