Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 7-26-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 26th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

White Sox are Searching for a Win 

The Chicago White Sox are 27-78 this season and they have lost 11 games in a row. Chicago is coming off of a series loss against Texas, where they lost all four games by scores of 4-3, 3-2, 10-2, and 2-1. Prior to that series, the White Sox lost all three against the Royals, lost all three against the Pirates, and lost two out of three against the Twins. Chicago is 1-14 in their last 15 games and they are last in the AL Central.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 324 runs with a .217 batting average and a .277 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .223 with 17 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has scored two runs or fewer in six of their last seven games. 

Mariners Offense is Slumping 

The Seattle Mariners are 53-51 this year and they have lost three games in a row. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against the Angels, where they lost all three games by scores of 3-1, 5-1, and 2-1. Prior to that series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Astros, lost three out of four against the Angels, and won both games against the Padres. Seattle is 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are second in the AL West. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.41 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, and a .217 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 390 runs with a .216 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .210 with 20 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has scored two runs or fewer in seven of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Drew Thorpe, who is 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 38.2 innings pitched this year. Thorpe has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 7-7 with a 3.20 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 123.2 innings pitched this season. Kirby has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. 

Why the White Sox will beat the Mariners

• The Mariners have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites.
• The home team has won each of the White Sox’s last seven games.
• The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Mariners following a road loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday night games.
• The White Sox have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.

Why the Mariners will beat the White Sox

• The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 games.
• The favorites have won each of the White Sox’s last nine games.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as road favorites following a home loss.
• The White Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Friday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last nine road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the White Sox’s last nine games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Andrew Vaughn has recorded a Double in three of the White Sox’s last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Robert has hit a home run in three of the White Sox’s last four games against the Mariners.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Tommy Pham has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Mariners.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in four of the Mariners’ last six games as road favorites.
• Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mariners’ last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• George Kirby has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
• Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series really struggling offensively and we could be in for a very low scoring weekend. The White Sox are the lowest scoring team in the MLB so far this season, while the Mariners are ranked 28th in runs scored. Seattle is 22-28 on the road, while Chicago is 17-34 at home. The Mariners are right in the middle of the AL West race, but they have been awful over the last few weeks. Both of these starting pitchers have been very solid recently and with these offenses struggling, my Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for this game to go under the total.