Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6-22-24 Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox had a good series versus the rival Toronto Blue Jays this week. Boston won all three of those games in a sweep with victories 7-3, 4-3 and 7-3. On Friday in the opener versus the Reds, Boston lost a tough one 5-2.

In the starter slot for the Saturday game the Red Sox will go with Nick Pivetta. This season Pivetta is 4-4 with a 3.88 ERA and 59 Ks in 53.1 innings over 10 starts. Pivetta is 54-63 with a 4.80 ERA in 206 career games (162 starts).

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

Over on the Reds’ side, they played the Pittsburgh Pirates in their last series. Cincinnati split the first two games 4-1 (loss) and 2-1 (win) before a tough loss 1-0 in the finale. On Friday the Reds only had six hits but benefitted from three Boston errors.

It’ll be Frankie Montas in the starting pitcher role for the Reds on Saturday. This year Montas is 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 49 Ks in 60.1 innings across 13 starts. Montas is 40-40 with a 3.96 ERA in 143 games (112 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Red Sox’s last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five home games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three day games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his last 15 home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Jonathan India has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Frankie Montas has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Saturday appearances in day games.
• Jeimer Candelario has hit two home runs in each of the Reds’ last two games against AL opponents.
• Spencer Steer has recorded a Single in each of the Reds’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Red Sox as road favorites.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 14 games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
• Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll stay with the Red Sox. Pivetta is 2-0 over his last three starts with a combined seven earned runs in 18.0 innings during that time. Back on June 12 versus the Phillies however, Pivetta was a little shaky with four earned in 4.0 innings during a no-decision. As for Montas, he’s given up seven earned in his last 6.1 innings over two starts.

On Friday the Red Sox got multiple hits from Jarren Duran and Connor Wong; no one else had much success at the plate. Boston needs a good bounce-back Saturday, but I think they’ll be fine.