Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction 9-4-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 4th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 66-73 this year and they have won two games in a row. Cincinnati won game one in this series by a score of 5-3 on Monday. Prior to this series, the Reds lost three out of four against the Brewers, lost two out of three against the Reds, and lost three out of four against the Pirates. Cincinnati is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the NL Central. 

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Reds’ offense has scored 621 runs with a .233 batting average and a .307 on-base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .261 with 22 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Reds this season. 

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 75-63 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Houston lost the first game in this series and snapped their winning streak on Monday. Prior to this series, the Astros swept the Royals in four games, lost two out of three against the Phillies, and split four games with the Orioles. Houston is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are first in the AL West. 

The Houston pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 631 runs with a .260 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .294 with 18 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Astros this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 6-6 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 109.2 innings pitched this year. Martinez has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 7-11 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 124.1 innings pitched this year. Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Astros will beat the Reds

• The Astros have won each of their last nine Wednesday night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Reds have lost each of their last four night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 home games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games following a loss.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Astros and Reds at Great American Ball Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Astros’ last four road games against NL Central opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents.
• Ty France has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Astros.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last five games against AL opponents.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against AL West opponents.
• Will Benson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL West opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Astros’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances with the Astros as favorites against NL opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Jake Meyers has recorded a Double in three of the Astros’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Kyle Tucker has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances after not playing the previous day.

Cincinnati Reds vs Houston Astros Prediction 

Houston had their winning streak snapped on Monday in game one of this series and they will try to get back into the win column after an off day on Tuesday. The Astros are 36-34 on the road, while the Reds are just 34-39 at home. Houston is currently leading the AL West and they are pulling away from Seattle. Nick Martinez may have the better pitching numbers on the season, but Arrighetti has been very good over the last few weeks. Take the Astros to get the win and even the series.