Reds vs Mets Prediction 9/5/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds meet Friday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Reds vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will trot out David Peterson for the start here and Peterson is 8-5 with a 3.61 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peterson is 0-1 with a 4.34 ERA and 25 strikeouts against the Reds. Andrew Abbott will get the nod for the Reds here and is 8-5 with a 2.65 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. In his career, Abbott is 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Mets. 

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from an 8-2 loss at the hands of the Detroit Tigers last time out to sit at 75-65 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for an important series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mets Fail To Complete Sweep

Pete Alonso has 146 hits with 35 doubles, 33 home runs, 113 RBIs and a .271 batting average while Juan Soto has 127 hits with 16 doubles, 27 stolen bases, 37 home runs and 91 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 149 hits with 28 stolen bases along with 29 doubles, 26 home runs and 77 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 15 home runs and 54 RBIs, but also has 91 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 133 hits with 27 doubles and 22 home runs and 78 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 13 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 13 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won each of their last five road games against the Reds following a road loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Mets and Reds.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last three night games.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 16 games as favorites against NL opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to rebound from a 13-9 loss at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays last time out to sit at 70-70 this season. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the San Diego Padres.

Reds Drop 7 Of Last 9

Elly De La Cruz has 148 hits with 19 home runs, 78 RBIs, 28 doubles and 32 stolen bases while TJ Friedl has 133 hits with 19 doubles, 11 home runs and 45 RBIs with 11 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 106 hits with 24 doubles and 50 RBIs while Spencer Steer has 17 home runs and 64 RBIs and Matt McLain has added 13 homers, 45 RBIs and 16 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 20 doubles as well this season.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight home games against NL opponents.
• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in three of the Reds’ last four home games against the Mets.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks 8th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Mets’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Reds vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the over in this one. I just think you have two teams that are solid against lefties against two starters that have been solid options for their respective rotations, but two options that have also been shaky at times this season, especially as of late. Furthermore, I think the bats come through here with how hitter friendly Great American Ballpark is this season, and I think these two combine to get us over this number. Give me the over.