Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 9-21-24 MLB Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates (72-82) vs. Cincinnati Reds (75-80)
September 21, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -109 / Pittsburgh Pirates -109; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds meet Saturday in MLB game 2 action at Great American Ball Park. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 72-82 on the year after playing the Royals and Cardinals. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 9 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 166 hits and 85 RBI, while Oneil Cruz and Andrew McCutchen have combined for 240 hits and 125 RBI.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 75-80 on the year after playing the Twins and Braves. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 153 hits and 70 RBI, while Jonathan India and Spencer Steer have combined for 254 hits and 149 RBI.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Pick Matchup
Jared Jones gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 6-7 with a 3.85 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. Jones has allowed 16 hits and 7 runs in his last 17.1 innings. Jones has a 5.40 ERA and a .245 allowed batting average in 43.1 road innings. This will be Jones’ first career game against the Cincinnati Reds.
Rhett Lowder gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 1-2 with a 1.74 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. Lowder has allowed 15 hits and 3 runs in his last 16.2 innings. Lowder has a 0.87 ERA and a .167 allowed batting average in 10.1 home innings. This will be Lowder’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last five-day games against the Pirates following a home win.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six road games.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against the Pirates.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five home games against the Pirates.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as favorites against the Pirates.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites.
- Jonathan India has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites against the Pirates.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Reds.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last four games against the Reds.
- Andrew McCutchen has scored a run in each of the Pirates’ last five games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan De La Cruz has recorded a Single in each of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Jared Jones is the more trustworthy pitcher given the larger sample size, but Rhett Lowder has been ridiculous up to this point and has been even better at home. Yes, much smaller sample size, but you have to be impressed with what Lowder has shown up to this point. Neither the Reds nor the Pirates have anything to play for. Give me the Reds at home in this toss-up game. I like what I’ve seen from Lowder in limited frames.