Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8/31/26 MLB Picks Today

The San Diego Padres and the Cincinnati Reds meet Monday in MLB action from Great American Ballpark. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Michael King for the start here and King is 8-9 with a 3.23 ERA and 135 strikeouts this season. Brady Singer will start for Cincinnati and is 5-12 with a 4.72 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to rebound from their 5-4 loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays last time out to sit at 72-65 this season. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the New York Yankees.

Padres Lose 3 Straight & 5 Of Last 6

Jackson Merrill has 124 hits with 21 doubles, 22 home runs and 69 RBIs while Gavin Sheets has 75 hits with 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 46 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 149 hits with 28 doubles, 17 home runs and 67 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 96 hits with 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 107 hits with 20 doubles, 24 home runs and 74 RBIs as well on the year.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to add on to their 7-5 win over the Chicago Cubs last time out to sit at 65-72 this season. After this series, the Reds will take on the Milwaukee Brewers in a matchup at home.

Reds Win 3 Of Last 4

Elly De La Cruz has 127 hits with 24 doubles, 5 triples, 21 home runs and 60 RBIs while Sal Stewart has 140 hits with 24 doubles, 31 home runs and 105 RBIs. Spencer Steer has 81 hits with 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 40 RBIs and Matt McLain has 70 hits with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 35 RBIs. JJ Bleday’s added 84 hits with 14 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs as well on the year.

San Diego Padres @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: August 31, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Brady Singer      Record this season: 5-12      ERA: 4.72
• Home Record: 3-5
• Last 5 against Padres: 1-0

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Padres have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Reds have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Padres.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road night games.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games at Great American Ball Park against NL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King      Record this season: 8-9      ERA: 3.23
• Road Record: 3-5
• Last 5 against Reds: 2-0

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Reds have lost each of their last six games against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Padres have won each of their last six night games following a road loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games following a road loss.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a win.
• The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last seven games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Reds’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Padres’ last 13 night games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last five night games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in five of his last six home appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
• Brady Singer has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL West opponents .
• Brady Singer has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as underdogs against NL West opponents.
• Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 13 night games.
• Sal Stewart ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (31) this season.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games as favorites against the Reds.
• Michael King has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Michael King has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T6th in the league in Steals (31) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (1041).
• The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
• The Padres rank 27th in the league for hits this season (1067).
• The Padres rank T4th in the league for steals this season (135).

San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’m on the Padres in this one. Brady Singer for me is starting to regress as what was one of the better arms in Cincinnati’s rotation and the Padres have been stronger against righties this season as it is. On the flipside, Michael King for me is still the Padres’ ace, and Cincinnati’s offense has been inconsistent at the best of times and has also come off of Sunday night baseball with travel, so I think this is all set up for San Diego to draw first blood here. Give me the Padres.