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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-17-24 Picks

Minnesota Twins (24-19) vs. Cleveland Guardians (27-17)
May 17, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -120 / Minnesota Twins +102; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins were just swept by the Yankees after taking 2 of 3 from the Blue Jays. The Minnesota Twins have scored 1 run in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 6 games. The Minnesota Twins have lost 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 39 hits and 14 RBI, while Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have combined for 66 hits and 52 RBI.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 27-17 on the year after losses to the White Sox and Rangers. The Cleveland Guardians have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Cleveland Guardians have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Steven Kwan leads the Cleveland Guardians with 47 hits and 11 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Andres Gimenez have combined for 85 hits and 60 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 1-0 with a 3.24 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Woods Richardson has allowed 9 hits and 5 runs in his last 10.1 innings. Woods Richardson has a 4.50 ERA and .304 allowed batting average in 14 road innings. This will be Woods Richardson’s first career game against the Cleveland Guardians.

Triston McKenzie gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 2-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. McKenzie has allowed 12 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 18.2 innings. McKenzie has a 3.42 ERA and .218 allowed abutting average in 23.2 home innings. McKenzie is 2-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 64 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The Guardians have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against the Twins.
  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Guardians following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Twins.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

 

  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Guardians’ last seven night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in eight of the Guardians’ last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 10 games as favorites against the Twins.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last seven games against the Twins.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last 12 Friday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

 

  • Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last four games as road underdogs.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Guardians.
  • Max Kepler has recorded a Single in each of the Twins’ last seven games against AL Central opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Twins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Ryan Jeffers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.614) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

 

  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (333).
  • The Cleveland Guardians rank 5th in the league for strikeouts this season (393).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (87).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (417).

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Minnesota Twins have scored a combined 1 run in their last 3 games, and now they go on the road. I’m not getting the warm and fuzzy feeling from the Twins, even though recent games came against the Yankees, a team they never beat anyway. Triston McKenzie has shown flashes of returning to his usual self, and the Guardians as a team continue to find ways to win games. Woods Richardson has had issues on the road through 14 innings. The price is more than fair. Give me the Guardians to win game 1 against the Twins.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians -120

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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