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Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 9-18-24 MLB Picks

Minnesota Twins (79-71) vs. Cleveland Guardians (87-64)
September 18, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -111 / Minnesota Twins -106; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet Wednesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Twins pick.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins played a series versus the Reds over the weekend. Minnesota lost the first pair before a 9-2 Sunday win. After another loss 4-3 versus the Guardians in the opener, in game two the Twins powered out a 4-1 win. Zebby Matthews went 4.2 innings with one earned run in the start.

In the starter slot for the Twins on Wednesday will be Bailey Ober. So far this year Ober is 12-7 with a 3.90 ERA in 28 starts. Ober is 25-19 with a 3.72 ERA in 85 career starts.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, in their last series, they took on the Tampa Bay Rays. Cleveland lost the first pair before two wins over the weekend. In Tuesday’s game, the Guardians gave up two runs in the eighth inning. Gavin Williams managed a solo homer as the only RBI.

Tanner Bibee will start for the Guardians on Wednesday. So far Bibee is 11-8 with a 3.60 ERA in 29 starts. Over 54 career starts, Bibee is 21-12 with a 3.31 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Guardians’ last seven games as home favorites has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Twins’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three games as favorites.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded a Double in three of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances with the Guardians as favorites against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Carlos Correa has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine road appearances.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.
  • Manuel Margot has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded two RBIs in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as road underdogs.
  • Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’ll try the Twins in this one. Ober needs a bounce-back start, though. In his last outing, Ober took a loss to the Reds with 6.2 innings and five earned runs. In his two starts prior however, Ober gave up just one earned in 13.0 frames. As for Bibee, he’s 1-2 with six earned in 17.0 innings over his last trio.

On Tuesday the Twins got a great pitching effort across the board from Matthews and the bullpen. Five different arms combined for 4.1 innings, no earned, three hits, one walk, and four Ks. I like Minnesota to keep it rolling on Wednesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Minnesota Twins -106

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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