Guardians vs Mariners Prediction 8/29/25 MLB Picks Today

The Seattle Mariners and the Cleveland Guardians meet Friday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Guardians vs Mariners Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Seattle Mariners will send out George Kirby for the start here and Kirby is 8-6 with a 4.05 ERA and 97 strikeouts this season. In his career, Kirby is 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA and 13 strikeouts against the Guardians. Logan Allen will get the nod for the Guardians and is 7-10 with a 4.35 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. In his career, Allen is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Mariners.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Padres last time out to sit at 72-62 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Mariners Win 4 Of Their Last 6

Jorge Polanco has 95 hits including 20 home runs and 59 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 120 hits with 19 doubles, a team-high 50 home runs and 107 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 119 hits with 26 doubles, 25 home runs, 64 RBIs and 24 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 144 hits with 24 doubles, 4 triples, 25 home runs, 73 RBIs and 24 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 9 homers and 12 stolen bases as well this season. J.P Crawford has 126 hits with 20 doubles, 9 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Guardians have lost each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Mariners following a win.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Guardians at Progressive Field following a win.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last three road games against AL Central opponents.
• Victor Robles has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
• George Kirby has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.
• George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Mariners as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Victor Robles has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL opponents.
• Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (50) this season.

Cleveland Guardians Recap

The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to build on their 4-3 win over the Tampa Bay Rays last time out to sit at 66-66 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a series against the Boston Red Sox.

Guardians Win Back-To-Back Games

Steven Kwan has 136 hits as part of a .271 batting average and 10 home runs, 22 doubles and 41 RBIs. Kyle Manzardo has 86 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 21 home runs and 57 RBIs as well this year. Gabriel Arias has 20 doubles but also 129 strikeouts and Manzardo has 109 strikeouts so far this season. Arias has also added 9 home runs and 45 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has chipped in 26 home runs and 68 RBIs with 36 stolen bases as well. Carlos Santana has also added 89 hits with 11 home runs and 52 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Mariners have lost five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won five of the Guardians’ last six games at Progressive Field.
• The Guardians have covered the run line each of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites following a win.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in four of the Guardians’ last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Guardians as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Guardians as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
• Jose Ramirez ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (36) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last seven road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last four games between the Mariners and Guardians at Progressive Field have gone OVER the total runs line.

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Mariners here. I get the case to be made for a home underdog in some spots, but the Guardians are still one of the worst teams in baseball against righties at the moment. Furthermore, I’m not looking to back them against one of the better starters in Seattle’s rotation. Logan Allen’s been shaky in some of his recent outings, and I think the Mariners get to hi and end up with the win here. Give me Seattle in this one.