Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 6-21-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 21st at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series. 

Guardians Looking for Three Straight 

The Cleveland Guardians are 46-26 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Cleveland is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games and scored 19 runs. Prior to that series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, split two games with the Reds, and won two out of three against the Marlins. Cleveland is 6-4 in their last ten games and they are leading the AL Central over Kansas City and Minnesota. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 360 runs with a .244 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .272 with 18 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland is sixth in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored at least five runs in four straight games. 

Blue Jays are Coming Off of a Sweep 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-39 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against the Red Sox, where they lost all three games by scores of 7-3, 4-3, and 7-3. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and won two out of three against the Athletics. Toronto is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are last in the AL East, a half game behind the Rays. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 287 runs with a .233 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Daulton Varsho is batting .213 with 11 home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 18th in team ERA this year and they have allowed at least four runs in four straight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-6 with a 5.80 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 59.0 innings pitched this year. Carrasco has allowed five earned runs in two of his last three starts and has not gone more than 5.0 innings in his last four. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yariel Rodriguez, who is 0-1 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 15.1 innings pitched this year. Rodriguez has allowed seven earned runs and 19 hits in his four appearances this season (15.1 IP). 

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Guardians have won nine of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Blue Jays and Guardians at Progressive Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Sixteen of the Blue Jays’ last 19 road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games against AL East opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against AL opponents.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six night games.
• Carlos Carrasco has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• George Springer has hit at least one home run in three of his last seven appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
• Justin Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 road games against AL opponents.
• Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 road games against AL opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games against AL opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

Cleveland rolls into this game after another series win against Seattle, and they have a six game lead in the AL Central. The Guardians are 23-9 at home this year, while Toronto is 17-20 on the road. The Blue Jays have been very up and down this year, but they are coming off of a bad series against Boston. Toronto hasn’t officially announced a starting pitcher for this game, so make sure to keep an eye on that. Cleveland is going with Carrasco, but he has allowed a ton of baserunners this year. I don’t like Carrasco, but Cleveland has been one of the best home teams so far this year. My Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Guardians to win.