Rockies vs Marlins Prediction 9/16/25 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and the Colorado Rockies meet Sunday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rockies vs Marlins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Eury Perez for the start here and Perez is 6-5 with a 4.67 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. This will be Perez’s second career start against the Rockies. Kyle Freeland will get the nod for the Rockies here and Freeland is 4-15 with a 4.97 ERA and 112 strikeouts his season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Freeland is 3-0 with a 3.07 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from their 2-0 loss at the hands of the Detroit Tigers in Sunday’s matchup to sit at 70-80 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Marlins Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Xavier Edwards has 148 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 111 hits with 27 doubles. Otto Lopez has 123 hits with 18 doubles and 14 home runs with 73 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 20 home runs, 29 doubles and 63 RBIs on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in three of the Marlins’ last four games against NL West opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL West opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their 9-6 loss at the hands of the San Diego Padres last time out to sit at 41-109 this season. After this series, the Rockies will take on the Los Angeles Angels in an interleague series at home.

Rockies Drop 8 Of Last 9

Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 136 hits including 26 doubles, 4 triples, 30 home runs and 87 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 132 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 15 home runs, 26 doubles, 51 RBIs, 5 triples and 17 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 111 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 16 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 107 hits with 17 doubles, 8 triples and 21 home runs with 62 RBIs.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Marlins and Rockies.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 14 games as favorites against NL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Marlins.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded a Double in each of the Rockies’ last three home games against the Marlins.
• Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous home appearances against the Marlins.
• Hunter Goodman ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.527) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight road games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Rockies’ last 12 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Rockies vs Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Rockies in this one. I get the case to be made for the Marlins here as Eury Perez is supposed to be one of the better options in their rotation. However, Perez hasn’t been as sharp on the road and Coors Field has a tendency to be a massive equalizer. Freeland’s also surprisingly pitched well in a lot of his recent home outings, and the Marlins are not a team I’m ready to blindly back against left-handed pitching right now. Give me the Rockies at home in this one.