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Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/4/26 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (4-3) vs. Colorado Rockies (2-5)
April 4, 2026 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +194 / Philadelphia Phillies -240; Over/Under: 10.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Colorado Rockies meet Saturday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will start Jesus Luzardo here and Luzardo is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. The Colorado Rockies did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 10-1 win over Colorado last time out to sit at 4-3 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Phillies Win 3 In A Row

Entering Friday’s series opener, Adolis Garcia has 7 hits with a pair of doubles, a home run and three RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 4 hits with a double, 2 home runs and 4 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 7 hits with a pair of doubles and a pair of RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 7 hits with a double and an RBI. Trea Turner has 5 hits with a double and Bryce Harper’s added 3 hits with a home run and three RBIs this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last 15 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have won each of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last nine games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded two or more hits in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
  • Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Phillies on Friday to drop to 2-5 on the year. After this series, the Rockies will take on the Houston Astros at home.

Rockies Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Going into Friday, TJ Rumfield has 9 hits with a double, a home run and three RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 8 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 7 hits with a double, a home run and two RBIs and Jordan Beck has 4 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The home team has won 11 of the Rockies’ last 14 games.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a loss.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jake McCarthy ranks T1st in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rockies’ last five home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Ten of the Phillies’ last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I get the case to be made for the Rockies as a home dog because a lot of times, it’s where some value can be found. However, the Rockies are still a mess, I don’t trust the bullpen, and their wins are going to be few and far between this season, value or not. Philadelphia’s the better team by a mile and I don’t trust the Rockies against lefties, especially one of the better ones in baseball in Luzardo. I’ll back the Phillies for the win here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -240

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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