Pittsburgh Pirates (33-36) vs. Colorado Rockies (24-45)
June 15, 2024 9:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +150 / Pittsburgh Pirates -175; Over/Under: +10.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 15th at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Rockies Pitching is a Mess
The Colorado Rockies are 24-45 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Colorado dropped game one in this series and they allowed five runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Twins, split four games with the Cardinals, and lost all three against the Reds. Colorado is just 3-10 in their last 13 games and they are last in the NL West behind the Dodgers, Padres, Giants, and Diamondbacks.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.48 ERA, a 1.53 WHIP, and a .285 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 280 runs with a .246 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ezequiel Tovar is batting .292 with 11 home runs and 33 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado is last in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed at least five runs in six of their last seven games.
Pirates are Playing Well
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 33-36 this year and they have won four of their last seven games. Pittsburgh won the first game in this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Cardinals, won two out of three against the Twins, and won two out of three against the Dodgers. Pittsburgh is 10-8 in their last 18 games and they are fourth in the NL Central, just a half game ahead of the Cubs in last.
The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 281 runs with a .229 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz is batting .248 with nine home runs and 28 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh is 22nd in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored three runs or fewer in five of their last ten games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Jared Jones, who is 4-5 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 74.1 innings pitched this year. Jones has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts and he has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last two starts against the Dodgers and Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Ty Blach, who is 2-4 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 44.2 innings pitched this season. Blach has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five starts and has allowed a total of eight earned runs and 18 hits in his last two outings.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
The Rockies have lost 17 of their last 18 games against the Pirates following a home loss.
The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games as road favorites against the Rockies.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 13 Saturday road games.
The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against the Pirates following a home loss.
The Pirates have won the first inning in each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Rockies at Coors Field.
The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home night games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Pirates’ last six road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Rockies’ last five games as underdogs against the Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last nine home games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last five games at Coors Field.
Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Pittsburgh picked up the win in game one of this series on Friday night and I like their chances here in game two. The Pirates are 17-19 on the road, while Colorado is 13-18 at home. The Rockies pitching staff has been a massive problem for them all season and they are starting Ty Blach, who has not been very strong recently. Pittsburgh is going with Jared Jones, who has bounced back with two very good starts. Jones is the way better option in this game and my Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates prediction is for the Pirates to win by at least two runs.
