Rockies vs Padres Prediction 9/6/25 MLB Picks Today
San Diego Padres (76-65) vs. Colorado Rockies (40-101)
September 6, 2025 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +162 / San Diego Padres -200; Over/Under: 12
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies meet Saturday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rockies vs Padres Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will start Randy Vasquez here and Vasquez is 3-6 with a 3.96 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. In his career, Vasquez is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Colorado. McCade Brown will get the nod for the Padres here and is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Brown’s first career start against the Padres.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-0 loss at the hands of the Rockies to sit at 76-65 this season. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Padres Lose 5 Straight and 7 Of Last 8
Manny Machado has 153 hits including a team-high 32 doubles, 22 home runs, 81 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 136 hits with 19 home runs and 58 RBIs along with 27 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 155 hits with 29 doubles, 4 triples, 7 home runs and 52 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 91 hits with 9 home runs and 51 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 29 doubles and 20 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 23 doubles, 18 home runs and 62 RBIs as well this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have won each of their last five road games against the Rockies following a road loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last five road games against the Rockies following a road loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games following a win.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Luis Campusano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL West opponents.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Padres as road favorites.
- Luis Arraez ranks 4th in the league in Hits (155) this season.
Colorado Rockies Recap
The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to looking to add on to their win over San Diego last time out to improve to 40-101 this season. After this series, the Rockies will go on the road for a division series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Rockies Snap Three-Game Skid
Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 129 hits including 24 doubles, 4 triples, 27 home runs and 83 RBIs while Michael Toglia has 58 hits with 15 doubles, 11 home runs and 32 RBIs but also has 126 strikeouts. Kyle Farmer has 14 doubles while Jordan Beck has 14 home runs, 25 doubles, 46 RBIs, 5 triples and 15 stolen bases. Brenton Doyle has 107 hits with 19 doubles, 14 home runs, 54 RBIs and 15 stolen bases. Mickey Moniak has 96 hits with 17 doubles, 8 triples and 18 home runs with 55 RBIs.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won five of the Padres’ last seven games.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last four games.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- German Marquez has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Padres.
- Kris Bryant has hit a home run in two of his three previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against the Padres.
- Hunter Goodman ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.538) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Padres’ last 11 night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the last four games between the Padres and Rockies have gone OVER the total runs line.
Rockies vs Padres Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. Initially I was looking at the Padres, but I just don’t love the Padres in their current form, as they couldn’t get anything going on Friday. But I think they get some runs going here against Brown. I also think Colorado can score against Randy Vasquez, who is a fringe starter at best for the Padres’ rotation in my opinion. I think we get some runs here, so I’ll roll with the over in this one.