Colorado Rockies vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 8/4/26 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Colorado Rockies meet Tuesday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will send out Freddy Peralta for his Rays debut and Peralta is 5-9 with a 4.99 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. Gabriel Hughes will start for Colorado here and Hughes is 0-3 with a 3.33 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays will be out to add on to their 13-9 win over the Rockies from Monday’s matchup to sit at 66-46 this season. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the Seattle Mariners.

Rays Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight

Entering Monday, Yandy Diaz has 125 hits with 19 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 63 RBIs while Chandler Simpson has 113 hits with 6 triples and 20 RBIs. Nick Fortes has 67 hits with 14 doubles, 4 home runs and 28 RBIs and Jonathan Aranda has 112 hits with 18 doubles, 14 homers and 65 RBIs. Junior Caminero’s also added 118 hits with 18 doubles, 30 home runs and 66 RBIs.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Tampa Bay on Monday to sit at 45-68 this season. After this series, the Rockies will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Rockies Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped

Going into Monday, TJ Rumfield has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 58 RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 67  hits with 18 doubles, 8 home runs and 35 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 99 hits with 16 doubles, 33 home runs and 65 RBIs. Troy Johnston has 88 hits with 24 doubles, 3 home runs and 41 RBIs. Willi Castro also has 88 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 46 RBIs.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Colorado Rockies Betting Trends: August 4, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Gabriel Hughes      Record this season: 0-3      ERA: 3.33
• Home Record: 0-2
• Last 5 against Rays: –

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

• The Rockies have won each of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last five road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
• The Rockies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Rockies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Freddy Peralta      Record this season: 5-9      ERA: 4.99
• Road Record: 2-5
• Last 5 against Rockies: 3-2

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 16 night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rockies have lost each of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games against National League opponents.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against the Rockies.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Rays’ last nine games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rockies’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rockies’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rays’ last five games as road favorites.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Mickey Moniak has hit at least one home run in eight of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Gabriel Hughes has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Hunter Goodman ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Junior Caminero has hit at least one home run in each of the Rays’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in nine of his last 10 Tuesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Junior Caminero has recorded two or more hits in each of the Rays’ last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Tuesday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Junior Caminero ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.557) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rockies rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (207).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.51).
• The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (803).
• The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the Rockies here. I think that Hughes is one of the brighter pieces in this Rockies rotation coming up and I look for him to have a solid outing here. Peralta struggled at the best of times on the road with the Mets and going to Coors, I think he has issues here. Give me Colorado.