Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction 7/30/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, July 30^th in the fourth game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

St. Louis Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals have a 54-54 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 28-31 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Cubs. They will face the Blue Jays and the Yankees next.

The St. Louis Cardinals have a .239 batting average this season, .315 OBP and .379 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’s pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Alec Burleson is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average. Jordan Walker leads the team in RBI with 78 and adds a team-high 22 home runs.

Andre Pallante (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he has a 11-6 record, 3.77 ERA and 1.21 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 61-47 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL Central. They have a 31-25 away record and are coming off a 2-3 road loss against the Cardinals. They will face the Yankees and the Dodgers next.

The Chicago Cubs have a .248 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .415 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .284 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 63, and adds a team-high 24 home runs.

Javier Assad (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Chicago Cubs, and he has a 6-1 record, 3.86 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.

The Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 30, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Andre Pallante      Record this season: 11-6      ERA: 3.77
• Home Record: 5-6
• Last 5 against Cubs: 1-3

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Cardinals have won each of their last nine games against the Cubs following an extra innings win.
• The Cubs have lost 17 of their last 21 day games at Busch Stadium following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games following a road loss.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five games as favorites following an extra innings win.
• The Cardinals have won the first inning in three of their last four day games at Busch Stadium.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.
• The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad      Record this season: 6-1      ERA: 3.86
• Road Record: 4-1
• Last 5 against Cardinals: 1-1

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven day games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have won four of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 17 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Cardinals.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Cardinals.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 day games against the Cardinals.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cardinals’ last six games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cubs’ last five day games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last nine Thursday games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Cardinals’ last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Walker has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last two day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Andre Pallante has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
• Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Thursday appearances.
• Andre Pallante ranks T7th in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Javier Assad has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games as underdogs.
• Miguel Amaya has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T4th in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cardinals rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).
• The Cardinals rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (469).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (469).

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction

The Cubs are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Cardinals and have won two of their last three visits in Saint Louis.

In this Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, the Cardinals are coming as -120 home favorites. I like the Cubs as road dogs in a bounce back spot today against a struggling Cardinals team that was 2-9 in its last 11 games prior to yesterday’s win. Both pitchers have similar numbers but the Cubs have a superior offense and bullpen both overall this season and in their last 10 games, averaging 6.7 runs per game in that span, as opposed to the Cardinals’ 3 runs per game. Take the Cubs for plus money in this one.