Cubs vs Orioles Prediction 8/3/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 3rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 64-46 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-0 and 3-4. In their game two loss, Chicago led 3-0 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the last five innings for the defeat. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Hoerner, who went 3-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Chicago started Boyd, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Thielbar blew the save and picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win two out of three against the White Sox before that. Chicago has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 574 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 26 home runs and 81 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 27 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 8-5 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 106.0 innings pitched this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 51-60 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday afternoon. Baltimore didn’t do much offensively in the game, but they scored four runs in the eighth to escape with the victory. The Orioles recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Henderson, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Sugano, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Wolfram picked up the win and Akin got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles won three out of four against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Rockies. Baltimore has won six of their last eight games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 486 runs with a .244 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 13 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 0-5 with a 6.63 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP over 36.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Orioles

• The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 day games following a loss.
• The Orioles have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight games against the Orioles.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against the Orioles.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight day games between the Orioles and Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Ian Happ has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last six home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games against the Orioles.
• Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Double in each of the Orioles’ last four games as underdogs.
• Jordan Westburg has recorded two or more hits in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.

Cubs vs Orioles Prediction 

Chicago completely controlled most of game two on Saturday afternoon, but their bullpen blew the game late and they fell another game behind the Brewers. The Cubs are 34-20 at home this year, while the Orioles are 24-33 on the road. Baltimore has played well over the past week, but they are starting Young, who has been very inconsistent. The Cubs are going with Rea, who has allowed nine earned runs and 15 hits over his last 9.0 innings. I do expect Rea to bounce back, as he has been great this year, and I like the Cubs -1.5 here.