Cubs vs Reds Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs meet Friday in MLB action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Cubs vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Cubs vs Reds Pick.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-29 on the year and play the Brewers, Diamondbacks, and Guardians next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting .248 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .398 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. TJ Friedl leads the Cincinnati Reds with 62 hits and 19 RBI, while Elly De La Cruz and Gavin Lux have combined for 105 hits and 61 RBI.

Andrew Abbott gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 4-0 with a 1.77 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Abbott is 2-0 with a 3.10 ERA and 17 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 35-21 on the year and play the Nationals, Tigers, and Phillies next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .262 on the season, have a .335 OBP, and a .450 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong leads the Chicago Cubs with 61 hits and 50 RBI, while Kyle Tucker and Nico Hoerner have combined for 120 hits and 63 RBI.

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season. Rea is 5-1 with a 5.88 ERA and 48 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last six games at Wrigley Field.
• The Reds have lost each of their last seven Friday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The favorites have covered the run line in four of the last five games between the Reds and Cubs.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday games as home favorites.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Cubs have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
• The underdogs have won four of the Reds’ last five games.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs following a road loss.
• The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Reds have won the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in five of his last nine appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded a Double in five of the Cubs’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Ian Happ has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances with the Cubs as favorites against the Reds.
• Carson Kelly has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (15) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as underdogs.
• TJ Friedl has recorded two or more hits in each of the Reds’ last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last five day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded a Double in three of the Reds’ last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six games.

Cubs vs Reds Prediction

The Cubs are playing better baseball, and they’re at home, so they’re going to be favored. The Reds have had trouble stringing wins together, and they’ve been underachieving for the most part. With that said, the Reds are better than what they’ve shown up to this point, so there’s upside in the underdog role. Also, Abbott has been dealing lately, allowing 21 hits and two earned runs in his last 25.2 innings. Abbott is averaging more than a strikeout per inning and is allowing a .204 batting average. The Reds have won six of the last eight games Abbott has pitched this season. I’ll take the Reds and a chance to make 1.5 times my money.