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Cubs vs Twins Prediction 7/19/26 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (49-50) vs. Chicago Cubs (55-43)
July 19, 2026 2:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -169 / Minnesota Twins 139; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 19th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 55-43 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-5 and 6-2. In game two, Chicago scored five runs in the first three innings and cruised to the easy win. The Cubs recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Boyd allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Thielbar allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Reds and two out of three against the Orioles. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 492 runs with a .244 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 5-8 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 108.0 innings pitched this season. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 49-50 this year after they lost game two by a score of 2-6 on Saturday afternoon. Minnesota tied the game at one in the second inning, but they only scored once over the last seven innings for the loss. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Clemens, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs. Bradley allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Paredes allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Angels and two out of three against the Guardians. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.60 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 476 runs with a .248 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 13 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Zebby Matthews, who is 4-6 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 67.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

  • The Cubs have won nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
  • The Cubs have won the first inning in each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won each of their last four games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Twins’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Cubs’ last eight day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Twins’ last seven road games.
  • There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the last 10 games between the Twins and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Kody Clemens has hit at least one home run in each of his three previous appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
  • Zebby Matthews has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Cubs vs Twins Prediction 

Chicago comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 5+ runs in all three wins. The Cubs are 28-20 at home this year, while the Twins are 23-25 on the road. Minnesota has also won three of their last four games and they have allowed three runs or fewer in all three wins. The Twins are starting Matthews, who has allowed eight earned runs in his last 10.2 innings, while Imanaga has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the Cubs -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Cubs -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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