Cubs vs Yankees Prediction 7/31/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 31st at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 62-47 this season after they won three out of four against the Cardinals by scores of 7-3, 10-2, 2-3, and 4-2. In game four, Chicago blew a 2-1 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored two runs in the 10th to get the win. The Cubs recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Bregman, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Assad allowed six hits and one earned run over 4.1 innings, while Webb got the win and Civale picked up the save. Prior to that series, Chicago won two out of three against the Pirates, but lost two out of three against the Tigers before that. 

This season, Chicago has a 4.15 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 564 runs with a .249 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 24 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 16 home runs and 61 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 7-8 with a 3.72 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 121.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 61-48 this year after they split four games with the White Sox by scores of 9-5, 3-2, 5-6, and 1-2. In game four, New York took a 1-0 lead in the 10th inning, but couldn’t score in the 11th for the loss. The Yankees recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Grisham, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Weathers allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Cruz picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Pirates. 

This season, New York has a 3.31 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 506 runs with a .233 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 31 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 7-5 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 102.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have won each of their last five day games after going to extra innings.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in six of their last seven home games.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 12 home games against AL East opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won six of the Yankees’ last eight games at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Cubs’ last eight games.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Friday games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Yankees’ last 10 road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Cubs’ last nine day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last eight home games.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Yankees’ last six games at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two games against AL East opponents.
• Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances against AL East opponents.
• Michael Busch has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 home games against AL opponents.
• Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Amed Rosario has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.

Cubs vs Yankees Prediction 

Chicago comes into this matchup after winning a series with the Cardinals and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four straight games. The Cubs are 30-22 at home this year, while the Yankees are 35-25 on the road. New York has lost three of their last five games, but their last two games were losses in extra innings. The Yankees are starting Warren, who has allowed six earned runs in two of his last four starts, while Imanaga has allowed five total earned runs in his last five starts. Take the Cubs to get the win here.