Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 9-29-23 MLB Picks
Detroit Tigers (76-83) vs Cleveland Guardians (75-84)
2023-09-29 18:40:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +105 / Cleveland Guardians -123 --- Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cleveland Guardians and Detroit Tigers clash Friday in game 1 of an MLB series at Comerica Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Guardians need a win after losing 6 of their last 10 games. The Guardians are 1 of 8 AL teams bounced from the playoff race. The Guardians pitching staff is 9th in ERA (3.95), 18th in WHIP (1.30) and 13th in quality starts (57). The Guardians’ offense is 27th in runs per game (4.11), 14th in batting average (.252) and 30th in homers (121). Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 169 hits and 54 RBI, while Jose Ramirez and Andres Gimenez have combined for 308 hits and 142 RBI. Cal Quantrill gets the ball, and he is 3-7 with a 5.13 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Quantrill is 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Tigers.
Cleveland Guardians Team Facts
The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last 17 games.
The Guardians have trailed after 7 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last three games.
The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Tigers look to build on their 4-game winning streak. The Tigers are 1 of 8 AL teams bounced from the playoff race. The Tigers pitching staff is 17th in ERA (4.27), 8th in WHIP (1.24) and 26th in quality starts (43). The Tigers’ offense is 28th in runs per game (4.04), 28th in batting average (.235) and 25th in homers (162). Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers with 138 hits and 93 RBI, while Matt Vierling and Kerry Carpenter have combined for 235 hits and 104 RBI. Joey Wentz gets the ball, and he is 3-12 with a 6.45 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. Wentz is 1-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Guardians.
Detroit Tigers Team Facts
The Tigers have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Guardians and Tigers at Comerica Park.
The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Guardians.
The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Guardians.
The Tigers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Detroit Tigers rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).
The Detroit Tigers rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (643).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (121).
The Cleveland Guardians rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1119).
Randy’s Pick
Neither team has anything to play for, and these are two struggling at best pitchers. Cal Quantrill has a 5.13 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, while Joey Wentz has a 6.45 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. Both of these pitchers have been getting rocked all season, and they’ve walked a combined 78 batters as well. I expect some fireworks. Give me the over with the reasonable total.