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Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 9-12-24 MLB Picks

Colorado Rockies (54-92) vs. Detroit Tigers (75-71)
September 12, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -256 / Colorado Rockies +210; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 12th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 75-71 this year and they have won four games in a row. Detroit has won the first two games in this series by scores of 11-0 and 7-4. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Athletics, lost two out of three against the Padres, and won two out of three against the Red Sox. Detroit is 13-5 in their last 18 games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Tigers’ offense has scored 626 runs with a .235 batting average and a .299 on-base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .265 with 21 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 54-92 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Colorado has dropped the first two games in this series and has been outscored 18-4. Prior to this series, the Rockies won two out of three against the Brewers, lost two out of three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Colorado is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.45 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .285 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 609 runs with a .241 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .247 with 19 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Ryan Feltner, who is 2-10 with a 4.96 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 138.0 innings pitched this year. Feltner has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three outings. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 16-4 with a 2.53 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 174.0 innings pitched this season. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Rockies

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last seven Thursday-day road games.
  • The Tigers have won each of their last four games.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Comerica Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have lost the first inning in each of their last four games.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Rockies’ last eight-day games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Tigers’ last five-day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last five games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Colt Keith has recorded at least one Single in each of the Tigers’ last eight games.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances at Comerica Park.
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three-day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Wenceel Perez has scored a run in each of his last six appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last seven games as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Charlie Blackmon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Thursday day appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rockies’ last nine road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ryan McMahon has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last four road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Brenton Doyle has scored a run in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
  • German Marquez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies’ last nine road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 

Detroit rolls into this game looking for the series sweep and they are playing some great baseball right now. The Tigers are 37-34 at home, while the Rockies are just 22-55 on the road this year. Detroit is pushing for the third Wild Card spot in the AL and they will have Skubal on the mound, who has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB this season. Colorado is going with Ryan Feltner, who has been decent in two of his last three outings, but he has some awful numbers on the season. Detroit is playing very well right now and I expect that to continue behind their ace. Take the Tigers -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Tigers -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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