Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 8-3-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 3rd at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Tigers Trying to Avoid Sixth Straight Loss 

The Detroit Tigers are 52-59 this year and they have lost five games in a row. Detroit has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 16 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost both games against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Twins, and split four games with the Guardians. Detroit is 2-8 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.

The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 462 runs with a .229 batting average and a .295 on base percentage. Matt Vierling is batting .251 with 13 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has allowed at least five runs in five straight games. 

Royals are Streaking 

The Kansas City Royals are 62-49 this season and they have won five games in a row. Kansas City has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-1 and 9-2. Prior to this series, the Royals swept the White Sox in three games, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Kansas City is 10-4 in their last 14 games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 528 runs with a .254 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .348 with 20 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has scored at least seven runs in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is TBD, but may end up being Kenta Maeda. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Lorenzen, who is 5-6 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 101.2 innings pitched this year. Lorenzen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings, but his last start was a disaster, as he allowed four earned runs and five hits over just 0.2 innings. 

Why the Royals will beat the Tigers

• The Royals have won each of their last 11 night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have lost each of their last five games.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against the Royals following a loss.
• The road team has covered the run line in 13 of the Tigers’ last 14 games.
• The Royals have won the first inning in each of their last five Saturday games against the Tigers.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine night games against the Tigers.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last nine night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight night games at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has recorded two or more RBIs in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight home appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
• Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Royals’ last 22 night games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded two or more RBIs in each of the Royals’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 22 night games.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances at Comerica Park.
• MJ Melendez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last 10 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Royals’ last 12 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this matchup on a five game winning streak and they are looking to get even closer to the Guardians in the AL Central. The Royals are 26-27 on the road, while the Tigers are just 25-30 at home this season. Detroit is back to struggling to score runs, as they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. Detroit is dealing with a few injuries to their pitching staff, so it is unclear who will pitch for them here. The Royals are going with Michael Lorenzen, who has been inconsistent in recent outings. I don’t love how Lorenzen has pitched lately, but the Tigers offense is not good. My Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals prediction is for the Royals to win.